Archive for the 'Market Challenges' Category

22
Oct
09

cricket broadcasting and commercial suicide

Whiteboard exists not only to promote our opinions but to give a platform to those with something fresh to say of interest to our readers.

You can find out why we are interested in the world of cricket at the end but, in the meantime, let Rob Eastaway, an independent consultant and author of several books including the bestselling ‘What is a googly?’, give you his insights on the business of cricket.

What were you doing in the summer of 2005? Whether or not you are a cricket fan, it’s almost certain that you spent at least part of that summer watching cricket. It was the summer England reclaimed The Ashes from Australia, and most of the country was hooked.

On the final Monday, offices stopped work, schools cancelled lessons and staff took sickies as everyone clambered to find a tv to watch the denouement at the Oval. Arguably it was cricket’s finest hour.

Cricket was on the brink of challenging football as the nation’s favourite sport. So what did cricket’s marketers do next? They pulled the plug, that’s what.

September 2005 is the last time that live cricket was broadcast into English homes.

Not a single ball of live cricket, not one, has been shown on terrestrial tv in the four years since, despite the fact that international cricket – particularly in its exciting new short form called Twenty20 – has stepped up massively in global appeal since then.

Instead, the England and Wales Cricket Board decided to sell live cricket, every single last delivery of it, to Sky. Now it is necessary to fork out upwards of £300 per year to watch live cricket. Not surprisingly, the vast majority of people don’t do this.

You might think this crass decision was commercial suicide. Surely the worst form of marketing is to hide your product at the back of the shelf so people don’t even know it’s there, and then price it so that it is unaffordable to the majority?

The ECB in their wisdom don’t think so. “Look at all the money we’re making”, they say. The minority who fork out their £300 bring in more revenue than the majority who used to get cricket for nothing. Those with a business head might say “well if cricket is making more profit than it was, then what is the problem?”.

Unfortunately, this Faustian pact has had nasty consequences that the ECB tries desperately to hide. Kids, the future market of the game, aren’t playing cricket in the parks any more (why should they? – most under 12s have never seen it!). The game is no longer the talking point in the typical household.

When England beat Australia to reclaim the Ashes this summer, less than two million watched the dramatic finale (on a Sunday) compared with nearer 10 million in 2005 (on a working Monday).

And if cricket is less popular, there are commercial organisations who will be particularly worried: the sponsors.

NPower spends millions each year sponsoring Test matches in this country. The commercial reason for this is simple – their exposure to millions of viewers. But now they are exposed to only a fraction of the audience they used to reach.

Sponsors like NPower have hinted that they are unlikely to continue their sponsorship at the current level. (Indeed, surely the sponsorship is now worth only a fifth as much as it was four years ago!)

Just as worrying is where all this cricket money is being spent. Most of it is channelled towards county cricket, a form of the game followed by a diminishing audience. Many county matches are watched by only a handful of people.

A lot of the money is meant to be nurturing the England team of the future, yet in truth it seems to be serving as a finishing school for South Africans who come to England aged 21 and spend four years qualifying to become ‘English’.

(When England tour South Africa this winter, it’s quite likely that four of our top six batsmen will be South African by birth. It’s hard to support your national team when they look like a bunch of mercenaries who used to fly a different flag).

An independent body is about to produce its report for the government on the future of cricket on terrestrial tv. They will argue that some cricket – probably The Ashes – should be a ‘crown jewel’, like The Olympics and the football World Cup, which has to be available free to everyone.

Sky will hate this report and is no doubt lobbying furiously behind the scenes. The ECB will hate it even more – because they are at risk of losing an easy revenue stream.

But only the short-sighted cannot see that for the long term commercial future of cricket, let alone its place as “the people’s game”, Test Cricket needs to come back onto terrestrial TV now.

These views are Rob Eastaway’s and not ours and no conclusions may be drawn on our advice to sponsors. Our interest is that we introduced one of our major clients to a three year sponsorship of the England Cricket Board and then managed it alongside other strategic marketing initiatives. This particular sponsorship proved a great success but Rob raises important questions about the short termism of sponsorship in the post-credit crunch era – questions equally important as those about short-termism in banking and politics.

13
Oct
09

a rude awakening: who is responsible for a generation in financial crisis?

In this latest posting, we share a  personal perspective on the credit crisis from one of our team. She raises serious questions about responsibility for the current crisis amongst those in the older generation who had the authority to do otherwise but who were happy to let the time bomb tick away.

This contribution is anonymous but it stands for the experience of thousands of young people who, in our opinion, were let down by successive Governments who could have but who did not protect the most vulnerable in society.

” I was naïve, I admit it. Like many other twenty-somethings, I have lived my life believing that borrowing money to pay for what you want is the norm. We were never told that getting into debt should be a last resort – quite the opposite in fact.

” From a fairly early age (17/18) I was encouraged to borrow money. While at college a local car dealer came to talk to my class about payment schemes on a brand new Citroen Saxo, and a special offer of the first two years insurance free – worth a lot to a student.

” Then, when I turned 18, I was advised by my bank to apply for a credit card so that I could start building up a credit history – unfortunately a credit history wasn’t the only thing I built up!

” However, it’s not just banks and businesses that encouraged me to access credit. In 1998 the Government introduced tuition fees for university students. My school year was the first to be affected.

” A few years later I found it relatively easy to get a mortgage. Of course, I had outstanding debts and no savings, but Northern Rock did not hesitate to offer me the full value of the house plus a substantial amount on top as an unsecured loan.

” I have recently been wondering whether social marketing could have helped me, and others like me, by warning us of the consequences of living our lives through credit.

” Social marketing is a form of marketing that aims to create awareness of an issue, educate the audience and ultimately change behaviours.

” To date, the benefits of credit have been (and still are) widely advertised – you only have to watch television commercials to see, for less than the cost of a haircut each month, how easily you can get a new sofa or a top of the range TV.  But the warnings have all been hidden in the small print of the credit agreement – not openly discussed and certainly not advertised.

” This is why, for me, the recession has been a huge wake-up call. The media have highlighted to me how quickly situations can change and how ruthless companies can be in chasing debt.

” So with national debt in the UK reaching a staggering £1.475 billion and exceeding GDP, I ask myself should more have been done to create awareness of this time bomb to change behaviours before it was too late?

” In my opinion, more could have be done to challenge our perceptions of the norm. As a result individuals might then have given more consideration to alternative options before taking out additional debt to fund a purchase or simply to get by.

” Realistically, however, I think social marketing will never be able to compete effectively with the big budgets of retailers. One example of this is the drinks industry.

” In September the British Medical Association called for a total ban on alcohol advertising. The drinks industry spends £800 million a year promoting drinks, of which £200 million is spent on advertising. Social marketing campaigns, such as the Campaign for Smarter Drinking, have increased their budgets (spread over five years), but this is still only half of what the drinks industry spends on advertising in a year, let alone on sponsorship and point of sales promotions.

” I believe that there is a moral obligation on business and Government to make consumers aware of the risks of debt. Banks, for example, who offer unsecured loans – whether through a loan, credit card or hire purchase agreement – should be obliged to contribute towards social marketing campaigns to raise awareness and educate about the risks. Unsecured debt should be capped at a maximum percentage of an individual’s gross salary.

” I also feel strongly that the Government should enlist the help of marketing professionals to help them create a sales and marketing code of conduct that every company who offers consumers any form of credit should be required to adhere to so that they do not actively target high-risk consumers, simply to meet sales targets.

” Committing to follow this code of conduct should form part of a company’s corporate social responsibility programme.  

” There certainly needs to be greater investment in social marketing to raise awareness of the risks of debt with a greater financial contribution from market leaders, such as banks, credit card companies and high street retailers.  This investment needs to be much closer to the amount that companies spend on advertising their credit products.

” Social marketing is not a new phenomenon – we have had anti-smoking marketing campaigns for years – and now it is becoming more common practice. It is an effective communication medium and one that could make a real difference to the long-term sustainability of the economy.  

” The media has done the job of social marketing over the last 12 months. It has really opened my eyes to how quickly the economy can turn and how much people have to lose if they cannot meet their minimum repayments.

” For me, the recession has taught me that continuous cycles of borrowing should not be the norm. I have already noticed my own behaviour changing as a result. I hope that some lessons will be learned as a result of this crisis and some actions put in place now so that today’s teenagers do not become tomorrow’s sub-prime victims.”

Pendry White is highly supportive of its staff member who has laid it on the line to the generation of politicians and corporate executives who failed her for a quick tax buck based on maximising corporate profits.

If you are a financial services company that is plugging allegedly cheap too-easy credit to students, under-21s, the disadvantaged or the low-paid, don’t come to us but find a marketing services business that is as shark-like as you are.

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01
Oct
09

‘understandings’ and legal fees

The legal profession in the UK has been feeling the pinch more than most sectors lately. News comes, courtesy of The Lawyer, using the analysis of costs lawyer Jim Diamond (21 September), that ‘magic circle’ partner rates are set to fall by a third in an attempt to compete in the mid-market.

Mind you, this does not put them into the Poundland class – you are still going to have to shell out some £450 or so for an hour of their time. 

And price sensitivity remains core to the sector. If insolvency practitioners are getting £900 per hour (believed to be the case), then a decent recovery should push partner fees back up to their ‘normal’ £680 or so quite quickly – or so you might think.

The obvious cause for this fall is recession but a contributing factor, emerging long before Lehman Brothers collapsed, may be increased corporate resistance to the arrogant professional demand that, because every minute is carefully registered, the cost of minutes, or the number of those minutes, are not matters for negotiation or discussion until the bill has been presented.

Another factor in high prices may cause public policy concerns eventually. Formal cartels to fix prices are illegal but informal structures have emerged where an in-group effectively dictates prices because no-one breaks ranks in setting charges. There appears to be an ‘understanding’ (which looks to the outsider as something damn close to collusion).

The constant inflation of non-executive remuneration and higher executive earnings before the ‘crunch’ undoubtedly had a great deal to do with recruitment firms, on percentages, engaging in such ‘understandings’.

Consciously or not, Board Directors negotiated exceptionally generous packages with little risk that would set standards from which they would benefit themselves, creating an inflation in remuneration that was always justified as ‘competitive’.

Similarly, the ‘blind eye’ aspects of the Parliamentary expenses scandal eventually comes down to an ‘understanding’ between officials and MPs about working the system on the implicit basis that an open debate might not be politically helpful.

Under vague guidelines, some played it straight but others were able to drive up their benefits because no-one within the political community thought that it was in their interest to make a fuss.

Most of the professional services world is now under sufficient competitive cosh that such group-think abuses do not generally take place – although we have our doubts about some public sector work where the Government seems incapable of using its monopoly position to full effect and has a very curious ‘understanding’ of value.

But there is an argument that the way that partner rates in the lergal profession rise and fall in tandem should be regarded as deeply suspicious, perhaps centred on ‘understandings’ about how the profession relates to its customers rather than on pure market considerations that might otherwise drive prices down.

Historically, this ‘understanding’ has been helped by the legal and compliance side of large businesses which have often not been as mindful of costs as other departments. A Board of Directors has often just accepted high fees as a necessary condition of doing business in the big league.

A Board may scrutinise sales figures, pricing and even the cost of the company yacht, but it will often just grumble and move on when legal fees come up. The invoice is presented – “See what you can do, Geoff. Next item …”

But high fees, especially for litigation. have often discouraged creative use of the law, including best use of its potential synergies with public affairs and negotiation, to solve commercial problems.

The prevailing culture now contains an element of moral hazard where disputants might choose to settle against the justice of a case rather than risk the full costs of a loss if fees are awarded on a technical or point-of-law failure to win.

On the other hand, although good lawyers do not do this, the temptation to ramp up a case, avoid negotiation and then sell the action on the basis that the other side will pay must be a matter for concern. Law as a poker game is precisely the type of risk that sound business should not be about!

With costs of appeals taken into account and the high cost of management time involved in litigation, even the best funded corporate player (as opposed to your average litigating oligarch) must now be tempted to find a commercial compromise even if the settlement weakens his position in other ways.

Perhaps this situation is forcing a re-think of how corporations use the law. This, with the multiplicity of competing law firms and lawyers that have emerged during the boom, is forcing Boards to turn to their executives and demand, as part of the job description, more value for money and a roster of firms that compete against each other on price, as well as on skills, for the company’s business.

Under this pressure, big law firms are more than a little trapped with huge fixed staff costs and big financial expectations from big egos in a very much more sophisticated and critical market.

To top this, many ambitious firms of all types have been hurt by their decision, at the peak of the last economic cycle, to go global – often to that sink-pit of expat hopes, Dubai – while the deal flow, though not as catastrophically low as first feared, is still weak.

The next economic cycle might be good for London but, in global terms, its relative advantages are likely to be much diminished in favour of other centres.

If ‘big men’ from Africa and South America decide not to come to London but to go back to a revived Wall Street or Dubai, to Shanghai or to Mumbai, to Berlin or even Paris or Zurich, then the sensitivity to demand, which has been helped by the phenomenon of the oligarch, could set a ceiling on average prices.

This is why the ‘magic circle’, with their global growth ambitions in abeyance for a few years, are now on a ‘rape and pillage’ mission directed at Middle England.

The pressure on major provincial law firms for the next year or two means that senior partners should be busy meeting and greeting their key clients to sell them the benefits of continuity.

If I was such a senior partner, I might suggest to clients that ‘competitive’ rates (still higher, by the way) might only be around for a while and that, in the meantime, their firm’s accumulated knowledge of the client might be lost for a marginal temporary benefit in unnecessary additional expertise.

Other pressures may emerge: a questioning of differentials between partners and ‘grunts’ on the advisory team - and for fixed fees.

Clients may want more newly-qualified and associate support in implentation and a more focused partnership engagement. Fixed fees might become a tool designed to ensure that a law firm improves management of services, only uses persons in appropriate roles and restricts high partner payments to quality advice and quality control of the delivery of actual services.

Lawyers are often notoriously poor managers resenting  managerial leadership, confusing the clocking-on/clocking-off mentality of a time management system for effectiveness in the use of that time.

The managerial revolution that took place in audit to create the lean mean fighting machines of the Big Four is still only half-baked across the legal profession, if only because ever-rising revenues have given no incentive to challenge the egoistic culture of the top rain-making professionals.

The senior management is in a bind. The motivation of rainmakers is not something you fool around with. On the other hand, law firms are not deal-based investment banks. The culture of Goldman Sachs is not necessarily an appropriate professional services culture even for the ‘magic circle’.

A rainmaker culture is fine at the top but it may be degrading the offer where partners are given equal leeway and freedom regardless of delivery and when the purpose is to sustain corporate relationships rather than chase down a few giant deals. Sufficient effective delivery and flash super-delivery are both jammed under the same partnership model.

Market conditions should see an eventual normalisation of conditions in the legal market after the weaker players inside and outside the system have been shaken out and as recovery increases demand but the ‘magic circle’ should not get too complacent.

The corporate sector has been badly hurt and a culture of scrutiny of deals and fees is not going to go away.  The public sector will not only be under some very particular scrutiny of its own but it will be tempted to force its standards on to the private sector.

And be aware that, with an election on the way, a Prime Minister who has re-discovered his old socialist roots, an Opposition Leader sensitive to accusations that he will be too kind on his ‘toff’ friends and expectations of another bonus scandal this Christmas, the pressure on the private sector’s culture of excess is merely in abeyance.




 

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©2009-2010 The Pendry White Partnership Limited. Unauthorized use and/or duplication of this material without express and written permission from this blog’s author and/or owner is strictly prohibited. Excerpts and links may be used, provided that full and clear credit is given to Pendry White and Whiteboard with appropriate and specific direction to the original content.